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The Vietnam News

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[Year 2001]

Vietnamese exports see highs and lows

HANOI - Vietnam's exports in 2001 reflect a paradox as the volume of its main export items rose while their earnings dropped sharply. Local crude oil exporters registered a year-on-year 1,000-tonne rise in volume, but their earnings dropped by US$50 million this year. Rice, coffee, pepper, and cashew nut exporters experienced a similar situation as the prices of their products fell sharply in the world market over past months.

Vietnam sold 950,000 tonnes of coffee abroad in 2001, a year-on-year increase of 200 tonnes, earning $400 million. This is $100 million less than last year's amount. Similarly, the country's pepper export volume was 57,000 tonnes this year, a year-on-year rise of 17,000 tonnes, but earnings dropped by $28 million to $92 million. The country will register an estimated export turnover of $17.6 billion this year, $1.76 billion lower than the annual target. Of the figure, earnings from exports were estimated at $15.2 billion, $1.56 billion lower than the targeted amount, and those from exports of services at $2.4 billion, $200 million less than the target.

Export volume and earnings of Vietnam's two major exports, handicrafts and electronics and personal computer (PC) spare parts, decreased sharply during the year. It is estimated that export revenues from PC spare parts were $610 million, $390 million lower than the annual target. Vietnam's major importers, Japan and China, spent less than expected on Vietnamese goods and services. Japan - the country's biggest partner - imported goods and services worth $2.13 billion in the year-ending November, up only 0.6 percent when compared with the same period last year. Vietnam posted $1.24 billion in exports to China - the country's second biggest trade partner - in the first 11 months of the year, a six percent year-on-year increase.

Trade experts said that low competitiveness of locally-made farm, forest and aquatic products was the main reason that the country fell short of its annual export target. Low competitiveness, experts added, was due to less attractive packaging, poor post-harvest preservation and processing technology, and the failure to meet hygiene requirements. In other export domains such as textiles and garments, leather and footwear, electronics and PC spare parts, and handicrafts, the shortage of capital, experience and market information as well as inefficient investment resulted in high production costs for local products and reduced their quality. Consequently, export earnings from these products dropped sharply. According to the Trade Ministry's estimated figures, export revenues from the textiles and garment sector fell short of the annual target by $200 million and in leather and footwear, $210 million. Economic experts warn that Vietnamese enterprises will surely lose out if they continue to consider low wage payment, abundant natural resources and state subsidies as the basis of development. They added that the enactment of the bilateral trade agreement (BTA) between Vietnam and the United States will create a level playing ground for both local and foreign-invested enterprises.

The Trade Ministry predicted that Vietnam's total import value will reach $16 billion this year, an annual import surplus of $800 million, equivalent to last year's figure. It is noteworthy that the import value of several products that can be locally produced or manufactured is still high. The import of steel products in 2001 is a case in point: Import volume was recorded at 2.15 million tonnes, worth $629 million, and was up 550,000 tonnes and $117 million, when compared with annual targets. The country spent $151 million on importing 280,000 tonnes of paper, up $3 million and 30,000 tonnes against the annual targets. Spending on imports of raw material, machinery and equipment this year is lower than the annual plan. Vietnam will have spent an estimated $2.75 billion on the purchase of overseas machinery, spare parts and equipment in 2001, down $250 million against the annual target. Imports of textiles and garment additives will be down by $400 million to $1.6 billion this year and those of plastic material were $150 million and $500 million, respectively.

Five export-stimulus measures issued by Prime Minister Phan Van Khai on December 13 target large markets like the European Union and the overseas Vietnamese community, and give priority of investment to major hard currency earners like rice. With these measures, the government hopes to reach the target of at least 10 percent export revenue growth in 2002. The move calls for improving aquatic product quality as well as strict control of the fish-raising environment. Aquatic export turnover was almost $1.7 billion in the past 11 months, $100 million more than planned for 2001. Exporters of rice, coffee, tea, ground-nuts, beef and chicken, processed and fresh vegetables and fruit, pepper, cashew-nuts, porcelain, wooden art articles, and wickerwork are entitled to bonus policy and preferential credit loans, according to the decision. Marketing efforts are of high importance in the decision, which encourages exploiting large potential markets such as the European Union, Japan, China, Russia and the United States, while not reflecting markets in Africa and Latin America, and encouraging cross-border trade and bartering.

The overseas Vietnamese community is a major target of the move. The prime minister asked relevant authorities, including the Trade Ministry and the Ministry of Planning and Investment, to consider more incentives for overseas Vietnamese businesses and investors with projects in their native land. Along with efforts to boost exports, the decision plans to curb hard currency spending by issuing high import tariff rates on raw materials already available in Vietnam such as cotton, tobacco, soybeans, and hides.

Importation of consumer goods, automobiles and motorcycle parts will also be put under strict control to minimize import volume. Importation will be encouraged only with regard to production materials, equipment and advanced technology that help speed up national modernization. The use of raw materials locally available will be increased. Vietnam recorded an export revenue of $13.8 billion in the past 11 months while its import value was estimated at $14.52 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of $720 million.

Asia Times - December 22, 2001.