Donors, investors press for reform
HANOI - Vietnam's communist rulers will come under fresh
pressure this week to speed up reform to unleash the
country's economic potential. Foreign and domestic
investors are expected to vent frustration at a
private-sector forum in Ho Chi Minh City on
Wednesday and donor countries and institutions will
subject government reform efforts to a mid-year review
in Dalat from Thursday.
Development officials and diplomats say Vietnam's
report card looks distinctly mixed.
There has been significant progress, including soaring
exports, rising industrial production, further poverty
reduction and a slew of business-friendly legislation.
But foot-dragging on reform implementation has meant
the overseas perception remains negative and growth
and investment flows have failed to pick up from the
heady mid-1990s.
Foreign investment has fallen from peaks of US$2.8
billion a year in 1996 and 1997 to about
US$500-US$600 million last year and further this year.
Development agencies such as the World Bank see
double the present level as appropriate and sustainable.
Paradoxically, it has never been easier to invest.
"The conditions for foreign investors have improved in
Vietnam over the past three years," said Wolfgang
Bertelsmeier, head of the World Bank's International
Finance Corp in Hanoi, who will chair the private-sector
forum. "But other countries in the region have improved
their investment environments faster, so compared with
them Vietnam looks less attractive than three years
ago."
On Friday, US Trade Representative Charlene
Barshefsky warned Vietnam that its economy would be
"left behind" unless it quickly completed a stalled pact to
tear down trade barriers. She said this was particularly
true now that the mainland had moved forward in its
commitments on market reform.
A trade pact with Washington would help overcome
negative perceptions, said Andrew Steer, head of the
World Bank mission in Hanoi, who will chair the
donors' meeting. "Clearly it is something we long to see,
because we think it would be very good for Vietnam. It
would be good primarily because they could export
more, but it would also be good as more American
firms would come here and bring technology."
Analysts said the decision-making process appeared
hamstrung by internal political considerations,
particularly the Ninth Congress of the ruling Communist
Party due next March.
Reuters - June 19, 2000.
|
|