Vietnam needs comprehensive economic reform
HANOI -
Vietnam must implement fundamental
economic reforms and cut business
costs if it wants to stem a slide in
foreign investment, the Asian
Development Bank (ADB) said.
In its 1999 outlook, the
Manila-based ADB predicted the
communist-ruled country's economy
would grow 3.7 percent this year
from an estimated four percent last
year, figures in line with estimates
from other multilateral agencies.
It forecast growth next year of 4.5
percent.
Hanoi was committed to prudent
fiscal and monetary policy but the
slow growth of exports and fall in
foreign direct investment would
persist, the report said.
The bank said lower foreign
investment flows and approvals were
caused by the Asian economic crisis
and disenchantment among foreign
businessmen about the pace of
reform.
It noted Vietnam's high costs
compared with the region,
uncertainty over foreign currency
availability and the lack of
transparency in government
regulations.
``The domestic investment climate
needs to be improved to enhance the
country's ability to compete for
foreign capital,'' the report said,
echoing a common refrain from
international donors and investors in
the past two years.
Vietnam approved foreign investment
projects worth $345.59 million in the
first quarter of the year compared
with $1.07 billion in the same period
in 1998.
The country approved foreign deals
worth $4.06 billion last year but
actual disbursements were much less.
Pledges were $4.5 billion in 1997
from $8.6 billion in 1996.
The report noted the current account
deficit narrowed last year to 4.1
percent of gross domestic product
from 6.8 percent in 1997, but said
this was partly due to slower
economic growth and import curbs.
It predicted the current account
deficit this year would be three
percent of GDP. The report gave no
absolute GDP figure, but various
estimates have put it at around $25
billion.
The ADB also urged Hanoi to
accelerate reform of state-owned
enterprises and the banking system.
Reuters - April 19, 1999.
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